Article introduction: On December 18, 2015, american president Aobama signs government spending and duty Wu bill, solve the crude oil that is as long as 40 years besides the United States formally to export a ban. On December 23, media coverage says, company of American Enterprise Products Partners speaks the a week in January 2016 crude oil of 600 thousand pails of light qualitative low sulfur to Holand.

On December 18, 2015, american president Aobama signs government spending and duty Wu bill, solve the crude oil that is as long as 40 years besides the United States formally to export a ban. On December 23, media coverage says, company of American Enterprise Products Partners speaks the a week in January 2016 crude oil of 600 thousand pails of light qualitative low sulfur to Holand.

Begin from June 2014, international oil price comes by diving of every pails of 115 dollars nowadays be less than 40 dollars. The market of global heavy goods that heads with crude oil turns into by seller's market gradually buyer's market, this serious already and superfluous circumstance is supplied to fall in global crude oil, the United States removes after the ban, does international oil price walk along situation geometry? Trade public figure expresses, this action means Europe and Asia to will obtain new crude oil to import a choice, also the viewpoint thinks to remove the ban won't cause too big effect to global market inside several years.

Crude oil exports a ban: The child of crisis of oil of first time world

American oil exports a ban, the crisis of oil of first time world that comes from the embargo of Arabia nation oil 1973 to bring about. In those days, arabia country supports the western country of Israel for penalty, initiate

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d oil embargo to move, cause in short supply of western nation oil, oil price is climbed litre. After the crisis passes, the United States recalls a painful experience, to make sure home is supplied, united States Congress was passed 1975 " energy policy and energy-saving act " (EPCA) , act gifts additional government limits of authority answers administrative orgnaization the sources of energy supplies shortage, accredit president controls home and international oil to supply, establish strategic oil reserve, put forward crude oil formally to export a ban.

Because crude oil exports the existence of the ban, the crude oil export trade of after this United States should obtain a government special approval, a few obtain approve especially, the crude oil that can export includes: What the crude oil that Alaska library overcomes bay area to export Canada, California produces is heavy and a few crude oil of difficult abstraction, and a few with Mexico oil that the government allowed Aobama 2014 exchange commerce.

And go up in the exit of finished product oil, the United States did not restrict measure, because this United States has export of many benzine, derv every year. Begin from 2011, had become as the United States that has refine of several advanced crude oil to convert a plant most oil of potential finished product exports a nation completely.

In fact, put in the light of what American crude oil exports a ban contend for uselessly had lasted nearly one year. Include Petroleum Company of mainland resources company, Kang Fei and marathon Petroleum Company inside ten oil company is removing all the time congress of the go canvassing on the problem of oil ban. They think, allow crude oil to export the twist that will eliminate the market, simplify oil production technological process of the United States and exciting country economy. Be in early actually 2014, ceng Zhun of government of abstruse Ba Ma makes a few condensate (complier notes: Point to from coagulate gassing cropland or oil field companion gives birth to natural gas to coagulate the fluid photograph that separate out comes to constituent, weigh natural gas again) exit, what this is considered as oil to export a ban to remove is augural.

The United States already became the world important and petroliferous country exported a quantity to take the whole world 2014 7%

The United States is the country of the biggest crude oil entrance on the world all the time, but the trend that imports a quantity to year after year drops. In the meantime, benefit from benefit from is hydraulic of fracture and horizontal well technology commercialize apply, the United States extracts from inside shaly layer the ability of crude oil rises greatly. According to the data that office of American energy information publishs, total output of American crude oil and condensate 5.6 million pails from 2011 / Tian Pansheng comes to exceeded 9.35 million pails 2015 / day, make the whole world with Saudi Arabia and Russia 3 nations with petroliferous the largest amount.

Here setting falls, oil produces business to hope to cancel to export a ban agog, they can sell its product with higher price. Data shows, american oil exports the area that face and nation, basically be in America of north and south and Europe, and in recent years year after year increases somewhat, 7% what American oil exported a quantity to already took the whole world 2014.

Come from Mixiegen the sources of energy of the republic party assemblyman of the city, United States Congress and Fulaideepudu of chairman of business affairs committee express, according to relevant research, unlock oil exit to will conduce to lower price of American home gas, meanwhile, reduce commerce limitation to help European allied country possibly still, reduce its to be opposite the dependence of Russia crude oil.

" wall street daily " the Ceng Yuan before this brings Kevin of chief of party of majority of assemblyman of California republic party, Boule McCarthy's speech says: If refer cancels crude oil to speak the optimal opportune moment of the ban, be now so. Cancel crude oil to export a ban to conduce to native economy not only, return the position of ground fringe politics that will strengthen the United States. Since Aobama is preparing to cancel the punish to Iran, iranian oil also regain market, why cannot American oil enjoy the opportunity that competes in the international market likewise?

Expert: Oil price or maintain 1 gram gold for a long time to change 1 pail of oil

20 centuries 70 time, the henry Kissinger that American Secretary of State holds the post of when ever had a paragraph to discuss: If you controlled oil, you controlled all countries; If you controlled commissariat, you controlled all people; If you controlled a money, you stayed in whole world with respect to control.

This mirrorred oil to regard goods and materials of a kind of strategy as long-term and located significant position probably. However, begin from 2014, black gold times has begun the evidence of occurrence collapse collapse. The market of global heavy goods that heads with crude oil turns into by seller's market gradually buyer's market, only time of half an year, crude price suffers cutting sb in two at the waist, the 3 digit times of oil price proclaims basically terminative. 2015 second half of the year, international oil price more drop defeat 40 dollars to close greatly.

On December 4, 2015, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) the conference is in the at issue end with intense each country, OPEC country declines support value of reduction of output to hold market share, did not announce new crop target, oil price drops for a time to 35 dollars.

On December 18, 2015, american crude oil exports a ban to remove, this means more crude oil to will enter an international market, or the situation that market of crude of aggravate whole world begs for be more than. And is long-term low fan go down?

Gold price comes to petrolic for a long time see meeting regression displacement of one ounce gold the level of 20 pails of crude oil. In Chen Weidong of researcher of raw presiding the sources of energy checks sea oil " Chinese economy weekly " the reporter expresses.

Chen Weidong analysis points out, arrive from 1900 between 2011, gold price all is in petrolic displacement of one ounce gold the level of 20 pails of crude oil drifts. This one dependency pauses in lay mines silvan system period is most stable, one ounce gold is meantime 35 dollars, a pail of oil is 1.8 dollars about, one ounce gold makes an appointment with reason displacement 19.4 pails of crude oil. 2015 second half of the year, oil price is 40 dollars about a pail, and one ounce gold is 1000 dollars about, still be in displacement of one ounce gold the level of 20 pails of crude

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oil.

Oil price has his underlying law. Chen Weidong points out, in fact, inside 100 years of in the past, oil never is rare be short of article, just suffer the effect of the element such as finance, politics, not contemporaneous value changes somewhat. The stability that international oil price goes 20 years period, result from the consensus that OPEC and arrange of international the sources of energy reach greatly, namely OPEC controls crop around surveyor's pole oil price, the price raises yield high, the price became low reduce yield. However, replace OPEC country to become the motor-driven producer of oil gas resource gradually as the United States, OPEC won't have resembled answering to be restricted to produce support value measure to be being adopted when oil price crisis in the past.

The change of prospective oil price, want to view American action greatly. Chen Weidong expresses, at present oil price is not worth 40 dollars a pail, it is 1 gram gold about, perhaps such price can be maintained comparative for some time.

(original title: Expert: Oil price or maintain 1 gram gold for a long time to change 1 pail of oil)

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